Early Downs › Week 18

Dallas Cowboys at Washington Commanders: Week 18 preview

• The Dallas Cowboys (3-4) visit the Washington Commanders (1-4-1) on Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET.
• The Cowboys offense ranks 4th in EPA per play (+0.14); the Commanders defense ranks 25th (+0.07 allowed). Biggest Cowboys edges: rushing success rate, non-explosive EPA per play, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate. The Commanders defense holds the edge in explosive play rate, explosive run rate, explosive pass rate.
• The Commanders offense ranks 18th in EPA per play (−0.01); the Cowboys defense ranks 30th (+0.14 allowed). Biggest Commanders edges: havoc rate, early-down EPA, non-explosive EPA per play.
• Luck check: the Cowboys have been a bit unlucky (−1.3 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Commanders have been lucky (+1.5 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 132 total snaps, 3 more than a typical game.