Atlanta Falcons at Carolina Panthers: Week 18 preview

The Atlanta Falcons (3-4) visit the Carolina Panthers (3-3) on Sun, Jan 10 · 1:00 PM ET.
The Falcons offense ranks 22nd in EPA per play (−0.04); the Panthers defense ranks 20th (+0.02 allowed). Biggest Falcons edges: line yards per carry, EPA per designed run, opportunity rate. The Panthers defense holds the edge in EPA per dropback, explosive play rate, yards per dropback.
The Panthers offense ranks 12th in EPA per play (+0.05); the Falcons defense ranks 13th (−0.02 allowed). The Falcons defense holds the edge in stuff rate.
Luck check: the Falcons have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 134 total snaps, 5 more than a typical game.