Early Downs › Week 17

Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets: Week 17 preview

• The Minnesota Vikings (6-0) visit the New York Jets (2-5) on Sun, Jan 3 · 1:00 PM ET.
• The Vikings offense ranks 30th in EPA per play (−0.10); the Jets defense ranks 17th (+0.02 allowed). Biggest Vikings edges: stuff rate, opportunity rate, line yards per carry. The Jets defense holds the edge in sack rate, EPA per designed run, yards per dropback.
• The Jets offense ranks 16th in EPA per play (+0.01); the Vikings defense ranks 1st (−0.22 allowed). Biggest Jets edges: explosive run rate. The Vikings defense holds the edge in sack rate, stuff rate, EPA per designed run.
• Blitz watch: the Jets blitz on 38% of dropbacks (7th most), and the Vikings struggle against it (−0.17 EPA per dropback, 25th).
• Luck check: the Vikings have been lucky (+2.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 123 total snaps, 6 fewer than a typical game.