Early Downs › Week 16

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Atlanta Falcons: Week 16 preview

• The Tampa Bay Buccaneers (2-5) visit the Atlanta Falcons (3-4) on Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET.
• The Buccaneers offense ranks 28th in EPA per play (−0.08); the Falcons defense ranks 13th (−0.02 allowed). The Falcons defense holds the edge in yards per dropback, early-down EPA, explosive pass rate.
• The Falcons offense ranks 22nd in EPA per play (−0.04); the Buccaneers defense ranks 3rd (−0.11 allowed). The Buccaneers defense holds the edge in EPA per dropback, non-explosive EPA per play, EPA per play.
• Luck check: the Buccaneers have been a bit lucky (+0.9 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Falcons have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 128 total snaps, close to a typical game.