New York Giants at Detroit Lions: Week 16 preview

The New York Giants (4-2-1) visit the Detroit Lions (4-2) on Mon, Dec 28 · 8:15 PM ET.
The Giants offense ranks 14th in EPA per play (+0.03); the Lions defense ranks 32nd (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Giants edges: 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, EPA per play, explosive pass rate. The Lions defense holds the edge in sack rate, opportunity rate, havoc rate.
The Lions offense ranks 3rd in EPA per play (+0.14); the Giants defense ranks 16th (+0.01 allowed). Biggest Lions edges: early-down EPA, sack rate, explosive run rate. The Giants defense holds the edge in stuff rate.
Blitz watch: the Giants blitz on 42% of dropbacks (3rd most), but the Lions are one of the best offenses against the blitz (+0.38 EPA per dropback, 1st).
Luck check: the Giants have been a bit unlucky (−1.4 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Lions have been lucky (+3.6 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 135 total snaps, 6 more than a typical game.
Weather: Indoors, so weather isn't a factor.