Early Downs › Week 16

Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins: Week 16 preview

• The Los Angeles Chargers (0-6) visit the Miami Dolphins (1-5) on Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET.
• The Chargers offense ranks 32nd in EPA per play (−0.21); the Dolphins defense ranks 29th (+0.13 allowed). The Dolphins defense holds the edge in early-down EPA, EPA per designed run, explosive run rate.
• The Dolphins offense ranks 26th in EPA per play (−0.05); the Chargers defense ranks 10th (−0.03 allowed). Biggest Dolphins edges: explosive run rate, explosive play rate. The Chargers defense holds the edge in non-explosive EPA per play, opportunity rate, EPA per play.
• Luck check: the Chargers have been a bit unlucky (−0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Dolphins have been a bit unlucky (−0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 124 total snaps, 5 fewer than a typical game.