Cleveland Browns at Baltimore Ravens: Week 16 preview

The Cleveland Browns (5-2) visit the Baltimore Ravens (4-3) on Sun, Dec 27 · 1:00 PM ET.
The Browns offense ranks 24th in EPA per play (−0.04); the Ravens defense ranks 19th (+0.02 allowed). The Ravens defense holds the edge in explosive run rate, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, line yards per carry.
The Ravens offense ranks 8th in EPA per play (+0.07); the Browns defense ranks 9th (−0.04 allowed). Biggest Ravens edges: explosive run rate, line yards per carry, explosive play rate. The Browns defense holds the edge in sack rate, stuff rate, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate.
Luck check: the Browns have been a bit unlucky (−0.9 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Ravens have been a bit unlucky (−1.1 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 126 total snaps, 3 fewer than a typical game.