New England Patriots at Kansas City Chiefs: Week 15 preview

The New England Patriots (4-3) visit the Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) on Mon, Dec 21 · 8:15 PM ET.
The Patriots offense ranks 10th in EPA per play (+0.05); the Chiefs defense ranks 5th (−0.05 allowed). Biggest Patriots edges: sack rate, yards per dropback, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate. The Chiefs defense holds the edge in rushing success rate, EPA per designed run, explosive run rate.
The Chiefs offense ranks 7th in EPA per play (+0.10); the Patriots defense ranks 18th (+0.02 allowed). Biggest Chiefs edges: havoc rate, average 3rd-down distance, EPA per designed run. The Patriots defense holds the edge in 3rd/4th-down conversion rate.
Blitz watch: the Patriots blitz on 39% of dropbacks (6th most), but the Chiefs are one of the best offenses against the blitz (+0.19 EPA per dropback, 7th).
Pace: projected for about 127 total snaps, close to a typical game.