Miami Dolphins at Green Bay Packers: Week 15 preview

The Miami Dolphins (1-5) visit the Green Bay Packers (4-3) on Sun, Dec 20 · 1:00 PM ET.
The Dolphins offense ranks 26th in EPA per play (−0.05); the Packers defense ranks 12th (−0.03 allowed). Biggest Dolphins edges: 3rd/4th-down conversion rate. The Packers defense holds the edge in early-down EPA, havoc rate, stuff rate.
The Packers offense ranks 17th in EPA per play (−0.00); the Dolphins defense ranks 29th (+0.13 allowed). Biggest Packers edges: sack rate, EPA per dropback, yards per dropback. The Dolphins defense holds the edge in EPA per designed run, stuff rate, line yards per carry.
Luck check: the Dolphins have been a bit unlucky (−0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Packers have been a bit unlucky (−0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 126 total snaps, 3 fewer than a typical game.