Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings: Week 15 preview

The Detroit Lions (4-2) visit the Minnesota Vikings (6-0) on Sun, Dec 20 · 8:20 PM ET.
The Lions offense ranks 3rd in EPA per play (+0.14); the Vikings defense ranks 1st (−0.22 allowed). Biggest Lions edges: explosive run rate. The Vikings defense holds the edge in stuff rate, EPA per designed run, havoc rate.
The Vikings offense ranks 30th in EPA per play (−0.10); the Lions defense ranks 32nd (+0.15 allowed). Biggest Vikings edges: explosive run rate, explosive play rate, explosive pass rate. The Lions defense holds the edge in sack rate, rushing success rate, opportunity rate.
Blitz watch: the Vikings blitz on 71% of dropbacks (1st most), but the Lions are one of the best offenses against the blitz (+0.38 EPA per dropback, 1st).
Luck check: the Lions have been lucky (+3.6 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Vikings have been lucky (+2.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 131 total snaps, close to a typical game.
Weather: Indoors, so weather isn't a factor.