Early Downs › Week 15

Denver Broncos at Las Vegas Raiders: Week 15 preview

• The Denver Broncos (5-2) visit the Las Vegas Raiders (3-4) on Sun, Dec 20 · 4:25 PM ET.
• The Broncos offense ranks 23rd in EPA per play (−0.04); the Raiders defense ranks 22nd (+0.04 allowed). Biggest Broncos edges: havoc rate, line yards per carry, average 3rd-down distance. The Raiders defense holds the edge in explosive pass rate.
• The Raiders offense ranks 15th in EPA per play (+0.02); the Broncos defense ranks 4th (−0.05 allowed). Biggest Raiders edges: average 3rd-down distance, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate. The Broncos defense holds the edge in opportunity rate, rushing success rate, havoc rate.
• Luck check: the Broncos have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Raiders have been lucky (+1.7 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 132 total snaps, 3 more than a typical game.
• Weather: Indoors, so weather isn't a factor.