Early Downs › Week 13

Jacksonville Jaguars at Chicago Bears: Week 13 preview

• The Jacksonville Jaguars (4-2) visit the Chicago Bears (5-2) on Sun, Dec 6 · 1:00 PM ET.
• The Jaguars offense ranks 5th in EPA per play (+0.12); the Bears defense ranks 14th (−0.02 allowed). Biggest Jaguars edges: explosive play rate, early-down EPA, explosive pass rate. The Bears defense holds the edge in average 3rd-down distance, havoc rate, sack rate.
• The Bears offense ranks 11th in EPA per play (+0.05); the Jaguars defense ranks 15th (−0.02 allowed). Biggest Bears edges: explosive pass rate, passing success rate, yards per dropback. The Jaguars defense holds the edge in explosive run rate, EPA per designed run, rushing success rate.
• Luck check: the Jaguars have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 126 total snaps, 3 fewer than a typical game.