New York Giants at Indianapolis Colts: Week 12 preview

The New York Giants (4-2-1) visit the Indianapolis Colts (2-5) on Sun, Nov 29 · 1:00 PM ET.
The Giants offense ranks 14th in EPA per play (+0.03); the Colts defense ranks 21st (+0.03 allowed). Biggest Giants edges: stuff rate, EPA per designed run, line yards per carry. The Colts defense holds the edge in average 3rd-down distance, passing success rate.
The Colts offense ranks 27th in EPA per play (−0.06); the Giants defense ranks 16th (+0.01 allowed). Biggest Colts edges: line yards per carry, opportunity rate, explosive run rate. The Giants defense holds the edge in yards per dropback, explosive pass rate, passing success rate.
Luck check: the Giants have been a bit unlucky (−1.4 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Colts have been a bit unlucky (−1.0 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 128 total snaps, close to a typical game.