Early Downs › Week 12

Denver Broncos at Pittsburgh Steelers: Week 12 preview

• The Denver Broncos (5-2) visit the Pittsburgh Steelers (5-2) on Fri, Nov 27 · 3:00 PM ET.
• The Broncos offense ranks 23rd in EPA per play (−0.04); the Steelers defense ranks 7th (−0.04 allowed). The Steelers defense holds the edge in opportunity rate, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, rushing success rate.
• The Steelers offense ranks 20th in EPA per play (−0.03); the Broncos defense ranks 4th (−0.05 allowed). Biggest Steelers edges: explosive run rate, EPA per designed run, average 3rd-down distance. The Broncos defense holds the edge in EPA per dropback, yards per dropback, passing success rate.
• Luck check: the Broncos have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 130 total snaps, close to a typical game.