Miami Dolphins at Indianapolis Colts: Week 10 preview

The Miami Dolphins (1-5) visit the Indianapolis Colts (2-5) on Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET.
The Dolphins offense ranks 26th in EPA per play (−0.05); the Colts defense ranks 21st (+0.03 allowed). Biggest Dolphins edges: EPA per designed run. The Colts defense holds the edge in average 3rd-down distance, passing success rate, non-explosive EPA per play.
The Colts offense ranks 27th in EPA per play (−0.06); the Dolphins defense ranks 29th (+0.13 allowed). Biggest Colts edges: average 3rd-down distance, 3rd/4th-down conversion rate, opportunity rate. The Dolphins defense holds the edge in early-down EPA.
Luck check: the Dolphins have been a bit unlucky (−0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck); the Colts have been a bit unlucky (−1.0 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
Pace: projected for about 123 total snaps, 6 fewer than a typical game.