Early Downs › Week 10

Kansas City Chiefs at Atlanta Falcons: Week 10 preview

• The Kansas City Chiefs (5-1) visit the Atlanta Falcons (3-4) on Sun, Nov 15 · 1:00 PM ET.
• The Chiefs offense ranks 7th in EPA per play (+0.10); the Falcons defense ranks 13th (−0.02 allowed). Biggest Chiefs edges: sack rate, average 3rd-down distance, explosive run rate. The Falcons defense holds the edge in explosive pass rate.
• The Falcons offense ranks 22nd in EPA per play (−0.04); the Chiefs defense ranks 5th (−0.05 allowed). Biggest Falcons edges: stuff rate, sack rate, opportunity rate. The Chiefs defense holds the edge in EPA per dropback, EPA per play, early-down EPA.
• Luck check: the Falcons have been a bit lucky (+0.8 points per game from kicking and fumble luck).
• Pace: projected for about 130 total snaps, close to a typical game.